As I sit here the morning after Super Bowl XLIX reflecting on the game and everything that surrounds it, all I can say is wow. Here are a few thoughts:
1) One decade later, Tom Brady is once again on top of the world: It should come as no surprise that Tom Brady was the Super Bowl MVP for the 3rd time in his career (just as scoutPRO predicted). Not only did he lead a balanced, methodical attack, but this time around he didn’t receive much help from the run game. Just two weeks after LeGarrette Blount’s 148 yard, 3 TD game, the Seahawks stingy D held him to just 40 yards. But Patriots fans should know better than to let that worry them. Their hero completed 37 passes for 328 yards and 4 TDs (plus two interceptions), including a perfect 8-8, 65 yard drive to steal victory from the Seahawks leaving just two minutes on the clock. He even broke Joe Montana’s record for touchdowns in the Super Bowl with 12 in his historic career.
With the Super Bowl only days away, fans all over the country are picking sides (and even placing bets) on which team will hoist the trophy on Sunday night. So far it’s almost an even split between those who think the Patriots will win and those who think the Seahawks will repeat as champs.
Diane Bloodworth, the CEO of Competitive Sports Analysis, has done her own research with the help of scoutPRO’s analytics and player projections to predict the Super Bowl MVP. That first means she has to predict the winning team. Her choice…the Patriots. She then chose Tom Brady to be MVP. Here’s a preview of her blog. Read the rest here.
“Now, in order to select the MVP, you must start by predicting the winning team. First, putting any team loyalties or personal opinions aside, we took a look at a review of the scoutPRO player analytics. These analytics incorporate both objective (statistical) and subjective data points on players and ultimately showed that New England has the superior team. In fact, most of the match-ups favored New England.”
Find out more about scoutPRO’s analytics and our algorithm used in the projections here, and join in on the conversation by following @scoutPROFantasy on Twitter.
Here’s a sneak peak at our week 17 Draft Kings Tight End Report. For the full report, subscribe to scoutPRO!
Rob Gronkowski ($7400): no value
Gronk will finish 2014 as the top rated TE; he has 82 catches for 1,124 yards with 12 TD’s on 131 targets. In week 6, Rob had 7 catches for 94 yards on 9 targets vs. the Bills, and I think he is the important offensive player for the Patriots behind Brady. New England has to protect him in this game by pulling him early as they have nothing to gain by winning or playing him. He is rated as a 30% play this week as they expect him to be in the bench early in the 2nd quarter at the latest-We are preaching to park this pony in the barn.
Our week 17 wide receiver report has all of the information you need to draft the best possible wide receivers for your Draft Kings team. Here’s a preview of a few players- for the full report, subscribe to scoutPRO!
Calvin Johnson ($8700): neutral
Calvin had his 4th 100 yard receiving game in his last 7 starts last week. During this span, he has 45 catches for 690 yards and 4 TD’s on 80 targets (103/1840 with 11 TD’s on 183 targets). Calvin has been playing like Calvin, and he can’t be ignored when he has a winning matchup. In week 3, he had 6 catches for 82 yards on 10 targets against the Packers (6/101 and 1 TD on 10 targets in 2013) and has 77 catches for 1245 yards with 12 TD’s in 13 career games against Green Bay. The Packers are 19th in the league in WR defense with 4 teams scoring more than 40 fantasy points. CB Tramon Williams has allowed 58/89 for 696 yards and 7 TD’s-Possible.
Here is a preview of our Week 17 Draft Kings Running Back. For the full report along with reports for QB, WR and TE, subscribe to scoutPRO!
DeMarco Murray ($8800): neutral
Murray was able to play through his hand injury last week, but game score led to him only playing 31 of 62 RB plays. In his last 2 games, DeMarco has 142 combined yards on 54 touches as defenses have focused on stopping the run. Romo has responded with big plays in the passing game, which will work in Murray’s favor down the road. He has 2140 combined yards with 12 TD’s and 54 catches and leads by Bell by 22 combined yards for the league lead. Dallas really has a slim chance at a first round bye, but they really need Seattle to lose. They will play this game to win with Murray seeing solid action. In week 8, DeMarco had 221 combined yards against Washington, and the Redskins are 4th in the league in RB defense with only 3 teams scoring more than 25 fantasy points. Stud back, but he may have less value in the passing game as the Cowboys really want him to avoid pass blocking-I see more steady than impactful.
Here’s a preview of our data analyst Shawn’s Week 17 Draft Kings QB Report. For all of our daily reports, subscribe to scoutPRO!
Andrew Luck ($8700): solid player with some downside risk in game
It appears that fantasy players ran out of Luck in week 16 as Andrew had his worst game of his NFL career. It was amazing to see him get the hook in the 3rd quarter. The Colts are in a position where the game has no value, which makes Luck a real tough buy this week. I’m sure Indy would like to gain some momentum with a solid game. Despite his short score, Luck is still the highest scoring QB on the year. He probably has no chance at 5000 yards passing (4601 – 296 yards in his last 2 games). In week 4, Andrew had 393 yards and 4 TD’s against the Titans. Tennessee is 10th in the league in fantasy points allowed to QB’s (Less than 20 fantasy points allowed in 8 of their last 9 games)-Pass.
Here’s a sneak peak at ourWeek 16 Draft Kings Tight End Report. For the complete report, subscribe to scoutPRO.
Rob Gronkowski ($7000): solid play based on matchup not salary
Gronk only had 3 catches last week, but he was able to deliver 96 yards with 1 TD’s on 8 targets, and he has 63 catches for 946 yards and 8 TD’s on 95 targets in his last 10 games (6.3 catches for 94.6 yards and 0.8 TD’s on 9.5 targets per game). In week 7, Rob had 5 catches for 68 yards on 10 targets against the Jets (8/118 on 17 targets in 2013 in New York). Gronk has two 2 TD games on his resume against New York, but the Jets are 6th in the league in TE defense with 4 teams scoring over 20 fantasy points-Solid TE option with high scoring ability.
Our data analyst, Shawn, has highlighted the best and worst wide receivers for your daily fantasy team in week 16. For the full report, along with reports for other positions, subscribe to scoutPRO!
Odell Beckham Jr. ($9000): neutral
Beckham’s incredible run continued last week, and he has moved to 13th in the WR rankings after his 12/143 and 3 TD day against the Redskins. Odell is averaging 22.6 fantasy points per game, which make him a top 3 WR if he played a full season. Over his last 4 games, Beckham has 40 catches for 509 yards and 6 TD’s on 49 targets. The Rams are 23rd in the league in WR fantasy defense with 8 teams scoring more than 40 fantasy points, and CB E.J. Gaines has allowed 54/80 for 530 yards and 1 TD. Jeff Fisher is a top coach, and I expected him to double and triple Beckham all day. Exciting player with elite results, but his price point is now top shelf-Makes sense to fade him.
Here is a preview of our week 16 Draft Kings RB cheat sheet. For the complete report, along with reports for the other positions, subscribe to scoutPRO.
Le’Veon Bell ($9800): solid play based on matchup not salary
Bell has been a monster in his last 4 games (830 combined yards with 7 TD’s and 21 catches) and is averaging 24.1 touches per game (30 over his last 4 starts). The Chiefs are 7th in the league in RB fantasy defense with 3 teams scoring over 30 fantasy points in the last 6 games-The winning ticket flows through this runaway train.
Our Draft King Cheat Sheets are the best in the business. Here is a sneak peak at the week 16 Quarterback Report. For full access to all reports, subscribe to scoutPRO!
Andrew Luck ($9000): solid play based on matchup not salary
Rodgers just couldn’t handle the Bills pass rush, which led to his worst game of the year (17/42 for 185 yards with no TD’s and 2 Int’s). He completed only 40.4% of his passes and now has 5 games on the road with 2 TD’s or less (5 total) and 12 combined passing TD’s in 7 road games. Rodgers has seven 300+ passing games with 8 games with 3 TD’s or more. Tampa is 21st in the league in QB fantasy defense with 4 teams scoring more than 25 fantasy points (1 in the last 8 games)-Much lower salary brings him back in play, but Aaron doesn’t have the greatest road resume in 2014.