Andrew Luck ($8800): solid play based on matchup not salary
Luck has 5 straight 300 passing games with 5 games with 3 TD’s or more. The Colts biggest asset over the last 6 games has been their ability to control the clock (38.5 minutes of offense per game), and they have averaged 23 more snaps per game than their opponents during this stretch. The Steelers defense has had a short pass rush in their last 4 games (1 sack per game), which will give Andrew plenty of time to make winning decisions. Pittsburgh is 3rd in the league in QB defense, but this is the first time they will face a quality offense and QB, but Luck will most likely be without Wayne and Richardson is banged up. Either way, Indy has plenty of fire power to deliver impact points. In play.
Julius Thomas ($6900): solid play based on matchup not salary
Thomas is by far Manning’s best goal line option (9 TD’s), and he has scored a TD in every game this season with 3 games with 2 or more TD’s. His targets (30 – 6 per game) remain at the 2nd tier level with only one game with more than 70 yards receiving. San Francisco has allowed 2 TD’s to the TE with one team gaining more than 50 yards from the position. He has elite TD production in a great offense.
Jordy Nelson ($8200): best matchup without salary implications
Nelson is the highest scoring WR in PPR leagues after 6 weeks (22.70 FPPG) and has scored over 28 points 3 times this season. Jordy is averaging over 11 targets per game, and his only failure was week 5 due to game score. Nelson is on a pace for 114 catches for 1685 yards with 13 TD’s. The Panthers have allowed 8 TD’s to WR’s in the last 4 weeks, and their CB’s have allowed 78 completions in 106 pass attempts (73.8 % success rate) for 962 yards and 7 TD’s. Rodgers should pick apart this defense.
DeMarco Murray ($9600): best matchup without salary implications
Murray has been machine-like over the first 6 weeks of the year (6 TD’s and six 100 yard rushing games), and he’s scored 25+ points in PPR leagues in every week this season. He is on a pace for 2,507 yards on 480 touches – Just an insane pace. Last year DeMarco had 251 combined yards in 2 games against the Giants, and New York has allowed a rushing TD in every game this season (7 total), plus they allowed 665 combined yards to the RB position over the last 3 weeks. All signs point to an elite matchup.
Ever wonder how scoutPRO stacks up against other pros in accuracy contests? Well last week we were #1! Each week throughout the season, Fantasy Pros ranks 133 experts based on the accuracy of their projections, and scoutPRO had 63.1% accuracy for week 6 (aka that’s really good!) Our wide receiver advice was particularly accurate. We hit the nail on the head with TY Hilton, projecting him as a top 5 performing wide receiver. Other big hits were Torrey Smith, Andre Holmes and DeSean Jackson. We also had better predictions than most other experts on Joe Flacco who put up 5 TDs.
For more information on the Fantasy Pros contest and how we stack up each week, check out their rankings here.
Andrew Luck ($9700): neutral
Luck has scored 30+ points in 4 of his 6 starts and has passed for 300+ yards and 3 TD’s or more in 5 games. Last year, Andrew passed for 326 yards and 4 TD’s against Cincinnati. He is on a pace for 5,299 yards with 51 combined TD’s. The Bengals struggled badly last week with the legs of Cam Newton (107 yards and TD), but they have only allowed one 300 yard passer this season with no QB throwing for more than 2 TD’s. Luck has been elite and has an edge just about every week so he is tough to overlook in any week. Possible start.
Julius Thomas ($6700): best matchup without salary implications
Thomas continues to be a TD machine (7) in the Broncos offense and has scored in every game this season/Overall, he is averaging only 6 targets per game, which really isn’t an elite opportunity for a TE. His ability to score TD’s is the key for his success while he does have higher upside with more favorable coverage. The Jets haven’t allowed any huge receiving yards or catches to the TE position in any game this year, but they have allowed 5 TD’s to TE’s in the last 3 weeks. With so many other strong options in the receiving game, New York really doesn’t have an answer for Thomas, and the TD parade should continue this week with a higher volume of looks.
Julio Jones ($8400): best matchup without salary implications
Julio has had back to back incredible starts to the season (2013 – 41/580 with 2 TD’s and 2014 – 40/552 with 3 TD’s), and he has 6 catches or more in 12 straight games with 11 straight games with 76 receiving yards or more. His only weakness is the lack of TD’s (5 in his last 10 games). The Bears secondary was torched in week 4 against the Packers (19/239 and 4 TD’s), and their best CB Tim Jennings has allowed 18/28 for 264 yards and 1 TD. This is an excellent matchup with high upside.
Matt Forte ($8800): best matchup without salary implications
Forte was electric in the Bears passing game in week 5 (12/105) and is on a pace for 115 catches for 957 receiving yards. Matt is averaging 123 combined yards per game, but he only has one TD. The Falcons are the worst team in the league in fantasy points allowed to the RB positions (36.42 FPPG); RB’s have 31 catches for 300 yards (6/60 per game) plus 738 rushing yards and 10 TD’s. Forte has been on the field for 322 of 361 RB plays by the Bears (89.2 %), which gives him a solid shot at 30+ fantasy points this weeks (36.42 X 89.2 % = 32.49). High % own with impact upside.
Peyton Manning ($9400): solid play based on matchup, not salary
Manning was overlooked by the fantasy world in week 5 in the daily games then proceeded to dust the Arizona pass defense for 479 yards with 4 TD’s to post the top score at QB. He’s back averaging over 300 yards per game (323) while being on pace for 48 TD’s. The Jets pass defense has allowed 12 passing TD’s and 261 passing yards per game, and last year Peyton threw 4 TD’s or more 5 times on the road. Upside matchup.